Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 54.904420 64.393929 74.751305 86.858581 100.584535 115.623176 133.306231
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 40.831246 53.547731 68.724555 88.010791 111.689269 139.624703 174.871108
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 31.121034 44.673525 62.039897 85.582606 116.276909 154.515264 205.270927
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 25.500917 39.526393 58.601407 85.867289 123.171877 171.680686 238.648652
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 21.673888 35.975792 56.474471 87.149298 130.874280 189.809564 273.855791
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 16.783265 29.957217 49.906370 81.201216 127.702122 192.667302 288.329248
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 14.828927 28.093611 49.095490 83.305335 135.825000 211.270075 325.132000
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 12.609171 25.399813 46.591810 82.441068 139.288847 223.211643 352.934436
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.913258 25.199828 48.016022 87.765533 152.389008 249.797704 403.115575
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.664937 21.809019 43.664117 83.215030 149.596519 252.326789 417.737881
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.882616 21.062290 43.775305 86.066833 158.743385 273.413289 461.133338
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.731260 21.542309 46.117904 92.915279 174.830000 306.028961 523.567989
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.053945 20.981628 46.751096 97.322536 188.041807 336.253315 586.162210
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.996909 19.434755 45.362394 98.040075 195.216172 357.573941 636.543075
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.773830 17.234903 42.341793 95.323531 196.057409 368.445155 670.638486
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.009486 15.951148 40.996952 95.629568 202.246681 388.486210 720.563040
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.438416 15.022455 40.264523 97.033054 210.487758 412.390132 777.950175
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.433477 12.657577 35.937894 90.515994 203.142519 408.600874 788.219270
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.105951 12.133726 35.798721 92.822098 212.982136 435.731492 852.704803
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.651501 11.100302 34.259145 91.874962 216.249564 451.092762 897.292854
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.569411 11.239593 35.681123 97.707797 233.611565 493.133446 990.716995
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.040421 9.718046 32.553863 92.723139 228.285963 492.647885 1008.102634
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.889448 9.490098 32.856455 95.847459 240.175826 525.193343 1086.517830